Saturday, July 19, 2014

The smart money has already left the building

Bagholder: "a bagholder is a shareholder left holding shares of worthless stocks"
"Distribution in the stock market refers to the increased selling of stock by large institutions. "

Institutions sell when they can, not when they have to i.e. when the usual bagholders show up in size. The last time money flow disconnected from the direction of the market was right before the Flash Crash in May 2010 (see below). Of course, that was a much smaller disconnect.

Chaikin Money Flow (weekly)