Friday, July 29, 2016

The Status Quo Took 7 Years To Consume

Copious dunces or reality. Choose carefully...

The first major Yuan devaluation was one year ago, meaning an entire year of extreme risk has been ignored.

The S&P is trading in the narrowest range in 40 years, while diverging from every other risk asset on the planet.

MW: July 29, 2016
The S&P 500 Hasn't Done This In 40 Years. And it's Bullish

It's bullish when stocks ignore risk. What else could it be?




Current divergences:

GDP 
Profits
Deflation/Treasury yields
Oil/commodities
Financials
Retail
Energy
Healthcare
Growth/Tech
IPOs
Small Caps
High Yield/Junk Bonds
Carry trades
Rest of World

Transports:



S&P / Russell Ratio:



Amazon
Versus
Sears, Credit spreads, US 10 Year, German 10 Year, Deutsche Bank, Global trade (BDI):