Wednesday, August 16, 2017

"Another Smash Crash With A Twist Of Lemon. Please"

The definition of insanity is sticking your head up your own ass over and over again each time expecting a different result...




The casino is setting up identically to August 2015. The only problem for gamblers is that it's not 2015.

The week of August 20th was options expiration. 

Bueller?





The proximate catalyst for the 2015 flash crash was Yuan devaluation which was in fact preceded by EM currency rollover:



Low volatility was reversing



Speculation was rampant







The Energy sector was imploding


Breadth was extremely weak
This shows 2014 and 2015




Europe had rolled over



Japan had rolled over



The Fed was clueless
Albeit, that's nothing unique to 2015 or now mind you




The twist of course this time is the fact that it's the end of the cycle. Time to get out of the casino...